September 2002 Events
September 1- 6 Israel's Supreme Court has delayed a ruling on the Israeli military's plan to use the Armenian Patriarchate's property south of Jerusalem as the two sides continued efforts to reach an out-of-court settlement. The 36-acre Baron Der property lies in the path of a planned 220 mile-long fence, that the Israeli Defense Forces are building in order to thwart attacks by Palestinian militants. The talks came following strong Armenian and international protests. Most recently, Pope John Paul II wrote to the Armenian Catholicos Karekin II expressing hope that "it will be possible to find a solution that would protect Jerusalem's ancient Armenian Patriarchate and thus prevent yet another blow to Christian presence in the Holy City." He added that the Vatican's foreign office would raise the issue with the Israelis.
Reports over the last two weeks suggest that the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have agreed in principle not to run the fence down the middle of the property, which would have rendered Baron Der largely useless. Israeli officials insisted they wanted to maintain "cordial relations with the Armenian Church." IDF spokesman Rachel Ashkenazi was quoted as saying that the "army went along much too fast" and is now planning to route the fence along the southern perimeter of the property. A leading Israeli daily reported last week that the IDF was planning to annex areas around Rachel's Tomb, a Judaic holy site located east of Baron Der, making it likely that the Armenian Church property would also fall within Israeli territory. 
Armenian Assembly telephone reports from the Patriarch this week indicate that negotiations are continuing on the exact location of the fence and its width, as well as compensation for the damage already inflicted to Baron Der by Israeli soldiers. In reference to this damage, Ashkenazi said that "everything will be returned to its former place." Since last year, the Israelis have bulldozed some 300 of 1,900 age-old olive trees and caused other damage on the Baron Der property. 
September 1- 6 Leaders of sixteen Armenian opposition parties this week signed a joint statement pledging to back a single candidate in an effort to unseat incumbent President Robert Kocharian during next February's election. Party officials conceded that they had failed to agree on who that candidate would be. One of the opposition leaders, chairman of the Party of the Republic Albert Bazeyan suggested that the parties might field several candidates in the first round of voting, with the strongest of them advancing to the run-off.
The opposition alliance includes groups as diverse as the National Accord Party of Artashes Geghamian, People's Party of Stepan Demirchian and National Democratic Union of Vazgen Manukian. Geghamian, who is reportedly the most popular opposition politician, has already announced plans to run for the presidency whether or not other parties back him. Manukian in turn sounded skeptical about the alliance's cohesion, saying that "we will not follow the same course no matter how much we unite."
Opposition alliance leaders also distanced themselves from Armenia's ex-President Levon Ter-Petrossian who is backed by the former ruling Armenian Pan-National Movement (HHSh). Ter-Petrossian has been reportedly mulling a presidential run, if he receives broad political support. Both Demirchian and Bazeyan, on whose backing Ter-Petrossian may have counted, have ruled out endorsing him for now. Most other members of the opposition alliance are hostile towards the HHSh.
Meanwhile, in the pro-Kocharian camp, Self-Determination Union leader Paruir Hairikian said his party will no longer support Kocharian, but will continue cooperation with political parties that back him. Hairikian collected five percent of the popular vote in the 1998 elections and endorsed Kocharian in the second round. Hairikian cited Kocharian's failure to complete the constitutional reform process as the main reason for withdrawal of his party's support. 
September 1- 6 President Robert Kocharian arrived in the Nagorno Karabakh Republic (NKR) earlier this week to participate in events marking the 11th anniversary of the republic's declaration of independence. He also met with officers and soldiers of the Karabakh army during the concluding day of their annual weeklong exercises. NKR declared its independence on September 2, 1991, in accordance with the Soviet law on secession effective at the time. Kocharian, together with the recently re-elected NKR President Arkady Ghoukasian and other officials, observed post-war reconstruction efforts in Stepanakert and paid respects to those who sacrificed their lives for NKR's independence. Commenting on the military exercises, Kocharian praised the combat readiness of the armed forces. "I have spent a whole day with the soldiers of the Karabakh Defense Army, observed their exercises and must say that I got the best impressions" he said. 
NKR's Defense Minister General Seyran Ohanian commanded the military games that involved virtually all of the army's combat units as well as reservists. In an interview last month, Ohanian noted the ongoing professional and technical improvements in the army, which in 1992-94 defeated its Azerbaijani opponents. He said that modern electronic equipment allows the Karabakh forces to "conduct effective reconnaissance and keep its opponents under control."
September 1- 6 U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell (R-KY), Ranking Member of the Senate Foreign Operations Appropriations Subcommittee praised the establishment of the Turkish-Armenian Reconciliation Commission. "I was heartened to see that such a positive step had been taken," said Senator McConnell. "Your efforts to create mutual understanding between the peoples of both countries truly transcend international politics, and I wish you the best of luck in your efforts." McConnell is the leading Senate Republican in support of the U.S.-Armenia relationship.
September 1- 6 Implementation of the much debated pipeline project that aims to bring oil from the Caspian deposits to Mediterranean ports is facing new hurdles due to objections raised in Azerbaijan and at the United Nations Summit on Sustainable Development. Azerbaijanis are reportedly unhappy with consortium operator BP over the selection of the Greece-based Consolidated Contractors Corporation (CCC) as the main contractor for construction of the Azerbaijani stretch of the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline. Azerbaijani media branded CCC an "Armenian company" because one of its senior advisors is an Armenian-American businessman. Reports suggested that President Heydar Aliyev has already demanded that BP invalidate its contract with CCC.
Meanwhile, international non-governmental organizations renewed their criticism of the project on grounds that it violates rights of residents of the countries that the pipeline traverses and endangers local environments. "The Baku-Ceyhan pipeline sets new standards for corporate impunity and domination," said a British newspaper commentary in reference to a contract signed by BP and Turkey. Similar public criticism of another British company forced it to pull out of a Turkish dam project. 
September 2 Education Minister Levon Mkrtchian issues a new decree requiring all secondary schools to display the Armenian state coat of arms and flag, as well as pictures of the Armenian president and Catholicos Garegin II, the leader of the Armenian Apostolic Church.
September 2 Armenian President Robert Kocharian arrives in Stepanakert to attend ceremonies marking the 11th anniversary of Nagorno Karabagh's declaration of independence from Azerbaijan. In an official address marking the anniversary, Karabagh President Arkady Gukasyan reaffirms his commitment to finding a peaceful, negotiated resolution to the Karabagh conflict and warns the Azerbaijani government against any attempt to solve the Karabagh conflict militarily. In repeated statements over the past several months, Azerbaijan has threatened to launch a military campaign to restore control over Nagorno Karabagh.
September 3 Nagorno Karabagh governmental press spokesman David Mikaelian formally refutes recent Azerbaijani press reports accusing the Karabagh government of actively resettling several hundred Kurdish families from Turkey into border areas between Karabagh and Azerbaijan. The Azerbaijani press reports allege that the influx of Kurdish settlers is part of the Karabagh government's broader plan to alter the demography of the region, although it is unclear how the Kurdish families were able to leave Turkey.
September 3 Galust Sahakian, the leader of the parliamentary faction of Prime Minister Andranik Markarian's Republican Party of Armenia, announces that the party remains in support of President Robert Kocharian "in line with our previous agreements." Sahakian adds that the party will "most likely" back the incumbent president in the February 2003 election.
September 3 Armenian National Movement (ANM) party strategist Tigran Hakobian announces that the party will not join the recently formed coalition of 16 political opposition parties. The former ruling ANM dismisses the new coalition as an unwieldy grouping of diverse and potentially conflicting political agendas and ambitions. The strongly anti-government ANM also accuses unnamed parties of covertly supporting President Kocharian and seeking to use their position within the opposition alliance as a means to disrupt true unity among the disparate opposition.
September 3-4 According to a new study conducted by the Caucasus Media Institute, only 1.5 percent of theArmenian population "trusts" the country's print media, a severe decline compared to an earlier survey conducted six years ago which found that 80 percent of Armenians expressed confidence in the print media's reporting. The report's author, Mark Grigorian, explains that the results reflect a "media crisis" and stem in large part to a decline in the general population's ability to afford the cost of newspapers. Grigorian adds that the state of the print media also suffers from seriously low standards, with little investigative reporting, and poor analysis.
September 4-5 The 16-party opposition coalition issues a new joint declaration accusing President Robert Kocharian of seeking to "retain power at all cost" and vowing to forge a coordinated effort to replace the incumbent president with a sole opposition candidate. Republican Party leader Albert Bazeyan differs with the declaration, however, and reveals that the opposition will most likely be unable to agree on a sole candidate, putting forth several opposition candidates instead. Press reports contend that at least six opposition figures aligned in the coalition will seek to contest the February 2003 presidential election.
September 6 A new decree is signed by Nagorno Karabagh President Arkady Gukasyan commuting the 14-year prison sentence of Sasoun Aghadjanian, the convicted assassin who seriously wounded President Gukasyan in a shooting attack on the presidential motorcade in March 2000. The presidential decree commutes the February 2001 sentence to a suspended sentence. The decision comes due to Aghadjanian's declining health.
September 7 President Arkady Gukasyan is formally sworn into his second term as Nagorno Karabagh president. A number of senior Armenian officials attend the ceremony, including President Robert Kocharian, Defense minister Serge Sarkisian, Parliamentary Chairman Armen Khachatrian and Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanian. A delegation of senior Abkhazian leaders also participates in the ceremonies in Stepanakert.
September 7-9 The family of Artashes Mehrabian, the owner of an independent television station, reports him missing and appeals toPresident Robert Kocharian and senior law enforcement officials to investigate his disappearance. The family reports that Mehrabian received several deaths threats reportedly linked to his station's broadcasts critical of Abovian Mayor Garo Israelian. Mehrabian and Azniv Chizmechian, a senior executive of his television station, were assaulted in late August. The missing man returns two days later, stating that although he was not kidnapped, several unknown men coerced him to suspend his television broadcasts. The independent television station is located in the town of Abovian, north of Yerevan.
September 9 Following his recent reelection, Nagorno Karabagh President Arkady Gukasyan reappoints Anushevan Danielian as Karabagh prime minister. The reappointment surprises some Karabagh observers as it was widely held that President Gukasyan was dissatisfied with Danielian's tenure as Karabagh premier.
September 9-10 Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanian addresses the opening session of the Armenia-European Union (EU) Parliamentary Commission in Yerevan by welcoming the European Union's (EU) efforts to persuade Turkey to recognize the 1915 Armenian Genocide and lift its long standing blockade of Armenia. The parliamentary commission adopts a statement endorsing the eventual entry of Armenia into the European Union. The commission also discusses the mediation effort seeking a negotiated resolution to the Nagorno Karabagh conflict and Armenia's failure to abide by its earlier commitment to close the Medzamor nuclear power plant by 2004.
September 10 A group of ten parliamentarians, including seven deputies from the People's Party of Armenia, form a new parliamentary bloc, calling itself "Vox Populi." The defection of the seven deputies from the People's Party lowers their number of seats to 13. The Unity bloc, comprised of the People's Party and its Republican Party partner, now has 38 seats but is still the dominant group in the 131-seat Armenian parliament.
September 12 Parliamentary Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Hovhannes Hovanisian announces that the Council of Europe has set a June 2003 deadline for Armenia to ratify the European Convention on Human Rights' ban on capital punishment in all cases except in times of war. The Armenian parliament adopted several amendments to the Armenian Criminal Code this past summer that would allow the use of the death penalty in all sentences reached prior to the amendments' adoption. 
September 6-13 Led by President Robert Kocharian, Armenian dignitaries joined the staff of the U.S. Embassy in Armenia for memorial services this week to commemorate the victims of last year's terrorist attacks in the United States. As part of the events marking the tragic anniversary, Armenia's leading symphonic orchestra and choir performed Mozart's Requiem, and the Catholicos of All Armenians Karekin II conducted liturgies in Echmiadzin and Yerevan. Members of Armenia's National Assembly began their session with a minute of silence.
U.S. Ambassador to Armenia John Ordway thanked Armenians for "the outpouring of heart-felt grief and sympathy." He further noted the "very good political and practical support" extended by the Armenian government to the United States in the hunt for perpetrators of the terrorist attacks. Armenia opened its airspace and offered landing rights and medical facilities during the U.S.-led operation in Afghanistan. Ordway said that post-September 11 bilateral security cooperation has built on already "excellent" U.S.-Armenia relations. 
As a result, the U.S. State Department has also stepped up its assistance to Armenia's law-enforcement agencies. A new classroom, complete with up-to-date audio and video equipment and U.S.-trained staff, opened at Armenia's police academy last week. Meanwhile, professional rescuers from the U.S. this week joined their counterparts from Russia and Georgia for two-week training exercises in Armenia's provinces of Shirak and Aragatsotn.
Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian reaffirmed Armenia's support for U.S.-led efforts "to combat terrorism which has become an international threat." Oskanian arrives in New York today to attend the annual session of the United Nations' General Assembly. He will then travel to Yale, Tufts and the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor for a series of speaking engagements. 
September 6-13 Armenian officials reaffirmed this week their intention to continue to pursue an expanded relationship with the European Union (EU). Meeting with members of the Brussels-based European Parliament, President Robert Kocharian said that "our choice of the European family is irreversible and we will consistently move along that path." Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian said this week that while it was too early for Armenia to apply for EU membership, "integration into European structures is for Armenia a most important agenda issue." European Parliamentarians Ursula Schleicher (Germany) and Demetrio Volcic (Italy), who head the commission on the EU side, met with their counterparts from the Armenian parliament to discuss a wide range of issues of mutual interest. They discussed the future decommissioning of the Metsamor nuclear power station, which accounts for 40 percent of all electricity produced in Armenia. The EU representatives reportedly appeared resigned to the Armenian government's refusal to shut down the plant until alternative sources of electricity become available. In the past, EU officials have insisted that the Soviet-era reactor be closed by 2004. Prime Minister Andranik Margarian has reportedly asked Western donors, including U.S., European Union and international financial institutions, to help raise between $1.2 and 1.5 billion for construction of additional hydropower and other energy capacity sufficient to replace nuclear energy in the next decade. 
September 6-13 Russian President Vladimir Putin has issued an ultimatum to the Georgian leadership demanding that it take immediate measures to clamp down on Chechen rebels, who in recent years have taken refuge and reportedly established training bases on Georgian territory. Unless Georgia acts to stop Chechen cross-border attacks, Putin warned, Russia would use its right to self-defense to justify launching strikes on "terrorist bases." The Russian President indicated that he has already instructed the country's General Staff to begin necessary planning. In a statement to the international community, Putin again accused the leadership of Georgia of harboring terrorists. At the same time, Putin insisted, Russia does not intend to undermine Georgian sovereignty, territorial integrity or attempt to replace the government of Eduard Shevardnadze. Georgian officials have called Russia's accusations "unfounded," claiming that most Chechen fighters have already left the Georgian-Russian border area, known as the Pankisi Gorge. They also downplayed the likelihood of Russian military action.
Armenia's Foreign Ministry expressed "serious concern" over tension between Russia and Georgia. Parliament's Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Hovanes Hovanisian said that the "unprecedented exacerbation" between Russia and Georgia may put Armenia in a difficult situation. He further contended that Russia does not have the right to unilaterally introduce its forces into Georgia, without a United Nations Security Council resolution.
September 6-13 Cooperation between Armenia and Azerbaijan against terrorism and organized crime would be useful, Armenia's Interior Minister Lt. Gen. Hayk Harutiunian said last week, adding that terrorists and criminals did not recognize borders or nationalities. He was speaking at a gathering of heads of law-enforcement agencies of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) held in Azerbaijan. Harutiunian is the highest-ranking Armenian officer to visit the country since the two declared independence in 1991. Armenia and Azerbaijan have been in a de-facto state of war since then. 
Azerbaijani President Heydar Aliyev has refused all efforts at cooperation and confidence-building measures with Armenia, even in fields of healthcare and culture. Visiting Ganje, Azerbaijan's second-largest city, Aliyev again promised to regain control over Nagorno Karabakh, "whatever the cost." The Azerbaijani President urged his countrymen to "be ready for war at any time." During his speech, Aliyev was interrupted by a group of local protestors who broke through security cordons to complain about their dire economic situation.
September 6-13 Unknown individuals placed a pipe bomb at Holy Nativity of the Mother-of-God Armenian Church in Bakirkoy, a Western suburb of Istanbul, Turkey, press reports said. The bomb exploded with a loud noise last Saturday night, but caused neither injuries nor significant damage. A second bomb was also found at the church premises, but apparently did not explode. Marmara, a Turkish-Armenian newspaper, reports that similar attacks on Armenian targets in Turkey are on the increase. It is unclear whether the attacks are coordinated or staged at random.
September 6-13 Prime Minister Andranik Margarian and a parliamentary commission investigating the conduct of Armentel, a telecommunications provider, have requested the country's Prosecutor's Office to launch a criminal inquiry into the company's operations. Margarian did not disclose any specific charges against the Greek-owned monopoly and said contentious issues might still be resolved out of court. Government officials have often accused the Hellenic Telecommunications Organization (OTE) of violating investment commitments it made as part of the 1998 takeover of Armentel. The parliamentary commission, led by one of the opposition leaders, former Prime Minister Vazgen Manukian, backed these accusations. It also determined that Armentel's monopolistic position contradicts Armenian law and must be renegotiated. Most parliamentary factions are expected to endorse the commission's report. 
September 6-13 Three hundred prospective students from the Diaspora applied for study in Armenia's colleges this year, the head of the Diaspora Department of the Ministry of Education and Science Yuri Navoyan reported this week. The number of applicants increased by seventy, over last year, the vast majority of them from Georgia, with the remainder coming primarily from Iran, Turkmenistan, Russia and Syria. This year, for the first time, applications also came from Turkey and Israel. Navoyan said that the Ministry presently provides seventy Diaspora students with state-funded education annually.
September 6-13 Starting this October, visitors to Armenia from anywhere in the world will be able to apply and receive electronic visas on-line, the Foreign Ministry reported. The innovative approach, funded by the United Nations, would allow anyone with access to the Internet and in possession of a credit card to receive official approval to travel to Armenia within 24 hours. A visitor would subsequently receive the actual visa upon arrival at the Yerevan airport. Armenia is reportedly only the second country in the world to introduce this innovative program. "After all, we have embassies and consulates in three dozen cities around the world, but Armenians and non-Armenians the world over have a personal and business interest in Armenia, and deserve the opportunity to quickly, easily, interact with our consular department," said Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian. The service will be available via the Web sites of the Foreign Ministry at www.armenianforeignministry.am and www.armeniadiaspora.com as well as Armenian embassy Web sites. 
September 15 In a speech before the United Nations General Assembly meeting in New York, Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanian states that the Kocharian government plans on delaying the national referendum on constitutional amendments until after the presidential and parliamentary elections set for February and May 2003 respectively. The announcement is in line with President Kocharian's plan to delay the referendum in order to prevent consideration of his government's constitutional amendments from 
being politicized in the election campaigns.
September 16 The Nagorno Karabagh foreign ministry issues a statement refuting recent press reports that the Karabagh military is to hold joint exercises with military forces from the self-declared independent republics of South Ossetia, Abkhazia and Transdniester. The foreign ministry statement adds that Nagorno Karabagh has its own "regular army that can guarantee its security and does not think it necessary to create a military coalition with other countries or to hold joint military exercises."
September 17 President Robert Kocharian tells journalists that he welcomes the recently formed alliance of 16 opposition political parties and says that he hopes that they can agree on putting forth a sole candidate to oppose him in the February 2003 presidential election. The president explains that he would welcome a common opponent from the opposition in order to prevent the political tension inherent in a likely run-off election. Kocharian remains confident that he can secure more than fifty percent of the vote in the first round, and thereby eliminate the need for a second round runoff election.
September 17 Prime Minister Andranik Markarian meets with visiting Georgian Defense Minister David Tevzadze in Yerevan. The Armenian premier urges the Georgian leadership to accelerate their promised program of economic aid and development of the Armenian Javakheti region of southern Georgia. Stating that the Armenian government "will do everything it can" to help the Georgian government address the severe socioeconomic crisis in the region, Prime Minister Markarian adds that the Kocharian government welcomes the recent announcement by the Georgian government of a new three-year economic development plan for Javakheti.
September 13-20 The influential Chief of Staff of the Russian President Aleksandr Voloshin and Georgia's Defense Minister David Tevzadze visited Yerevan this week to seek Armenia's support over the ongoing Russian-Georgian tension. Complicated relations between the two countries have deteriorated further after Russian President Vladimir Putin reserved the right to take unilateral action against Chechen rebels based in Georgia's Pankisi Gorge, unless the Georgian government takes measures of its own. Georgian officials said that any unilateral Russian action would be viewed as "military aggression" against Georgia. 
Meeting with President Robert Kocharian, both Voloshin and Tevzadze relayed messages from their respective presidents with regards to the crisis. Armenia is bound by bilateral and multilateral security agreements with Russia, while at the same time it seeks to maintain good relations with the neighboring Georgia. Armenia's Foreign Ministry said it was "seriously concerned" over the Russian-Georgian tension. Chairman of the Parliament's Defense and Security Committee Vahan Hovanisian expressed confidence that Armenia will not back the current Russian moves against Georgia, which he described as "not always justified." Meanwhile, Prime Minister Andranik Margarian has called for "serious discussions on the creation of a regional security system" that would include both Armenia and Georgia.
Senior Russian officials have likened the Georgian government to Afghanistan's Taliban, which was toppled during the U.S.-led operation late last year. They say that for years the Georgian government has turned a blind eye to the build-up of Chechen rebels, including Islamic militants linked to the Al Qaeda, who have used the Pankisi Gorge to stage guerilla and terrorist attacks inside Russia. Earlier this year, the U.S. officials confirmed the existence of Al Qaeda elements in Pankisi. As part of its anti-terrorist efforts around the world, U.S. dispatched a group of military trainers and provided other assistance to help Georgia deal with the problem. The Georgian President's National Security Advisor Tedo Japaridze is traveling to Washington later this week in an apparent effort to secure further U.S. support. 
September 13-20 Armenians living in a southern Russian province of Krasnodar were again targets of mob violence last weekend as hundreds of youths attacked Armenian-owned shops and seriously injured a dozen people in the town of Slaviansk. After some delay, local police detained fifty-two of the attackers. "We are concerned that such incidents recur again and again," said Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian. However, he was disinclined to think that the violence was centrally organized. Oskanian added that Armenia will continue to deal with the problem together with the Russian authorities and did not intend to seek intervention by international organizations, such as the Council of Europe.
In Slaviansk, the death of a local Russian man a day earlier reportedly sparked the attacks after his relatives blamed it on Armenians. But, according to press reports, a police inquiry into the death did not implicate any Armenians. Incidents targeting ethnic groups from the Caucasus are reported to be on the rise in Russia. Deputy Foreign Minister Rouben Shugarian said that while Armenians are not specifically targeted, the issue will continue to be raised with the highest offices of the Russian government. "We are obliged to protect each citizen of Armenia and each Armenian," he said.
September 13-20 Following a meeting between Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian and his Israeli counterpart Shimon Peres in New York, Deputy Foreign Minister Rouben Shugarian reported that plans to sign an agreement were in process. The text would reportedly include language stating that the protective wall, which Israel is building around Jerusalem, will pass along the borders of Baron Der instead of through the middle of the property. The meeting between the foreign ministers took place while both were in New York to attend the United Nations' 57th General Assembly. 
Israel's Supreme Court has delayed a ruling on the Israeli military's plan to use the Armenian Patriarchate's property south of Jerusalem as the two sides continued efforts to reach an out-of-court settlement. The 36-acre Baron Der property lies in the path of a planned 220 mile-long fence, that the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) are building to thwart attacks by Palestinian militants. 
Reports over the past month suggest that the IDF have agreed in principle not to run the fence down the middle of the property, which would have rendered Baron Der largely useless. Israeli officials insisted they wanted to maintain "cordial relations with the Armenian Church." Since last year, the Israelis have bulldozed some 300 of 1,900 age-old olive trees and caused other damage on the Baron Der property. 
September 13-20 Addressing the United Nations General Assembly earlier this week, Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian reiterated Armenia's commitment to finding a peaceful solution to the Karabakh conflict and to continue working towards international affirmation of the Armenian Genocide. Oskanian extended "profound appreciation" to the countries and international organizations that have officially affirmed the Armenian Genocide, adding that the Armenian government "places a high priority" on prevention of similar crimes against humanity in the future.
Turning to the Karabakh peace process, Oskanian expressed "shock and dismay" over belligerent comments made earlier in the day by Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Vilayat Guliyev. Oskanian noted that "some Azerbaijani officials, out of desperation or ignorance, use every means at their disposal to discredit the initiatives of the international community" aimed at a peaceful settlement of the conflict. Azerbaijani press reports suggest that, unlike Oskanian, Guliyev is not privy to the details of the recurrent direct talks held by Presidents Robert Kocharian and Heydar Aliyev and their envoys.
Oskanian called on Azerbaijan to desist from its efforts to gain control over Nagorno Karabakh, returning to a Soviet-era status quo, and join the international efforts in search of a lasting peace formula that would benefit the whole region.
September 13-20 The 16-party opposition alliance, that earlier this month pledged to support a single candidate in an effort to win in the February 2003 presidential elections, appeared on the verge of a split this week. Press reports suggested that leaders of two alliance members, National Accord (AMK) and People's Party (HZhK), are viewed as the two main rivals within the opposition camp. Earlier this week, AMK's Artashes Geghamian unveiled his election platform only to receive scathing reviews from allies of the HZhK leader Stepan Demirchian. Meanwhile, another alliance member published an opinion poll claiming that while trailing the incumbent President Robert Kocharian, Demirchian was well ahead of Geghamian (other polls suggested that the situation was quite to the reverse).
Fifty-two year-old Geghamian is considered to have more political experience and charisma than 46-year old Demirchian. Prior to independence, Geghamian was a senior member of the Communist Party and headed its Yerevan City committee. He has since been a member of Parliament. While Geghamian only polled half a percent in the 1998 presidential poll, the alliance he led came third in the 1999 parliamentary elections with eight percent of the vote and his popularity is said to have increased since. In contrast, Demirchian has never held an elected position. He entered politics only three years ago, following the death of his father, Armenia's charismatic Soviet-era leader and later Parliament Speaker Karen Demirchian. In addition, the alliance's two other members, the Communist Party and the National Democratic Union, are also likely to advance their candidates. 
Weighing in on the opposition's deliberations, President Kocharian said that he would welcome selection of a joint opposition candidate since a two-man race is more likely to be resolved in one rather than two rounds. A presidential candidate needs 50 percent plus one vote to win the elections. In the 1998 presidential elections none of the twelve candidates won in the first round, necessitating a run-off. 
September 13-20 Leader of the opposition Justice and Development Party (AKP), the former Istanbul Mayor Recep Tayyip Erdogan was banned from elections today, Associated Press reported. His party continues to maintain a strong lead in opinion surveys, less than two months before the November 7 general elections in Turkey. A recent Deutsche Bank-Konda public poll of 2,400 voters showed AKP with nearly twenty-five percent, with its nearest rival, the Republican People's Party (CHP), trailing with just over fourteen percent. (CHP's popularity has been significantly bolstered after the former Economy Minister Kemal Dervis joined the party.) All other parties, including the three members of the ruling coalition, have polled less than the ten percent required to enter the Parliament.
Erdogan was banned from elections because of his 1999 conviction for reading a poem, which a Turkish court said "incited religious hatred." Most of the AKP contingent are former members of the now banned Islamic Welfare (Refah) Party. But Erdogan and other AKP leaders deny that their party is "Islamic" and have backed more political reform in Turkey's effort to join the European Union. Now, another AKP leader is expected to lead the party in the elections. In an interview earlier this month, the party's leading foreign policy expert Abdullah Gul called for economic cooperation with Armenia to "help establishment of peace and stability in the region" and open a "path to trust."
September 23-24 Armenian President Robert Kocharian meets with Nagorno Karabagh President Arkady Gukasyan in Yerevan to review the economic situation in Karabagh and to discuss Armenian governmental assistance for the Gukasyan government's economic reform program. The Karabagh delegation also includes Nagorno Karabagh Parliamentary Chairman Oleg Yessayan and Prime Minister Anushevan Danielian. Armenian Parliamentary Chairman Armen Khachatrian meets with his Karabagh counterpart and reviews plans for cooperation and assistance between the two parliaments.
September 24 A delegation of military observers from the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) conducts their latest inspection of the Karabagh-Azerbaijani border and certifies the continuation of the ceasefire agreement in effect since May 1994. The OSCE inspectors, led by the personal representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office Andrzey Kasprczyk, are accompanied by representatives of the Nagorno Karabagh defense and foreign ministries.
September 25 The "Union of Karabagh War Veterans" group holds their second congress in Stepanakert with Karabagh President Arkady Gukasyan, Parliamentary Speaker Oleg Yessayan and Prime Minister Anushevan Danielian attending. The congress evaluates the organization's activities over the past two years and elects a new ruling board headed by Nagorno Karabagh Deputy Defense Minister Major General Vitali Balasanyan.
September 26 Nagorno Karabagh President Arkady Gukasyan meets with the three representatives of the French, Russian and U.S. co-chairing nations of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe's (OSCE) Minsk Group in Stepanakert. The Karabagh president meets with Russian First Deputy Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Trubnikov, U.S. Ambassador Rudolph Perina, French Ambassador Hugues Pernet, and Russian diplomat Nikolai Gribkov. President Gukasyan briefs the OSCE officials about Karabagh's position on the talks and stresses that the only realistic path toward settling the Karabagh conflict would be to formally include Nagorno Karabagh representatives in the negotiations as an equal party. The Minsk Group is the OSCE's working group empowered to manage the mediation of the Nagorno Karabagh conflict.
September 26 The Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) adopts a resolution warning the Armenian government that its membership in the Council of Europe may be jeopardized by the parliament's failure to unconditionally abolish capital punishment by June 2003. An overwhelming majority of Armenian parliamentarians want the death penalty for the five defendants on trial for the murder of senior political leaders during the assault on the parliament in October 1999.
September 26-27 A delegation of senior officials from the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) meet with President Kocharian in Yerevan as part of the group's latest tour of the region. The delegation consists of the three co-chairmen of the OSCE's Minsk Group, the tripartite working group managing the OSCE mediation of the Nagorno Karabagh conflict. The Armenian president briefs the OSCE delegation on his talks with his Azerbaijani counterpart last month in Nakhichevan, stressing that the direct talks were "encouraging" and adding that the "strategic direction" of both countries remain focused on finding a negotiated resolution to the Nagorno Karabagh conflict.
September 27 The Armenian government transfers its shares in the country's largest cement factory to a Belgian firm for $10 million, with $9.8 million of the proceeds to be transferred to the Russian ITERA Natural gas group as debt payment for Armenian imports of Russian natural gas and nuclear fuel. The cement factory is owned by former prime minister and Republican Party leader Aram Sarkisian. 
September 20-27 Armenian President Robert Kocharian promised this week to assist the Georgian government in its recently announced effort to improve living conditions in the Armenian-populated province of Javakheti. The program, announced by the Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze earlier this month, calls for investments in the region's economic and transport infrastructure and in the reconstruction of area schools and hospitals. The Georgian President's envoy to Javakheti Teymuraz Mosiashvili was in Yerevan this week to present the program to Armenian leaders. In a meeting with Mosiashvili, Prime Minister Andranik Margarian said he asked the Georgian authorities to consider opening an Armenian Consulate in Akhalkalaki, Javakheti's provincial capital, to improve Armenia's ability to participate in local development programs. In the past several years, Armenia has supplied electricity and restored some of the 156 Armenian schools in Javakheti.
Javakheti, like many areas in Georgia, is experiencing a severe economic crisis precipitated by years of post-Soviet neglect. The province is now threatened with losing its largest employer, a Russian military base in Akhalkalaki, which the government in Tbilisi wants closed. Mosiashvili said that in spite of the ongoing Russian-Georgian tension there is not yet a concrete date for the base's closure. Local Armenian leaders have strongly opposed Russian withdrawal plans, fearing that the resulting power vacuum in Georgia will be quickly filled by Turkey. Javakheti Armenians have already expressed skepticism about the new Georgian government program, preferring instead to continue to press for more self-government and improved ties with Armenia. Both Armenian and Georgian governments, mindful of the importance of bilateral relations, have worked to contain separatist sentiments. Local Armenians deny they harbor plans to break away from Georgia. 
Deputy Foreign Minister Rouben Shugarian reiterated this week Armenia's strong commitment to a close partnership with Georgia, describing its security as an extension of Armenia's own. Shugarian was speaking at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) while on a visit to Washington for a meeting of the U.S.-Armenia Task Force. 
September 20-27 Despite disappointment with Azerbaijan after the Key West peace talks steered by the Secretary of State Colin Powell, envoys of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) said they remained hopeful that Armenia and Azerbaijan are moving towards a peaceful solution. Following a briefing with Armenian President Robert Kocharian on his recent talks with Azerbajiani President Heydar Aliyev, the French, Russian and U.S. co-chairs of what is known as the OSCE Minsk Group, said both presidents remain committed to reaching an agreement. They conceded that the presidents are moving slowly due to the upcoming elections in their respective countries. Mediators will travel to Stepanakert and Baku later this week.
Speaking during a visit to Moscow this week President Aliyev described the talks as "fruitless" and blamed Armenia for failing to arrive at an agreement. Responding to these comments, Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian accused the Azerbaijani government of lacking political will to achieve a solution. Oskanian told members of the United Nations last week that Armenia remains committed to solving the conflict peacefully. Meanwhile, in what may be an effort to draw the European Union (EU) into the peace process, the mediators said they plan to travel to Brussels for meetings with EU's senior foreign policy makers, Javier Solana and Chris Patten, next month. 
September 20-27 As we go to press, a preliminary settlement has been reached between the Israeli government and the Armenian Patriarchate of Jerusalem on the issue of the building of a protective wall on the Patriarchate's property, known as Baron Der, according to the office of His Holiness Karekin II, Catholicos of All Armenians. In a statement, the office said "the Israeli government and the Patriarchate have found a solution and an appropriate agreement is presently in the works." The announcement of a resolution comes after a meeting between Armenian Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian and Israeli Foreign Minister Shimon Peres last week while they were in New York to attend the United Nations General Assembly. It also follows several weeks of protests by Armenian and Christian Church leaders, the Armenian government and the Armenian Diaspora.
September 20-27 Influence of the leading Armenian opposition figures continued to grow steadily even as senior government members remained at the top of the list of the most prominent politicians, according to an expert opinion poll published this week. The Armenian daily Azg together with the Moscow-based Panorama expert information center have been conducting regular polls on the most influential Armenian politicians since 1998. They are:
Sep. 2002 Score Dec. 2001
Score (Rank) Dec. 2000
Score (Rank) 
1. President Robert Kocharian 95.0 98.8 (1) 98.8 (1) 
2. Sefense Minister Serge Sargsian 83.8 90.3 (2) 92.2 (2) 
3. Prime Minister Andranik Margarian 61.6 58.0 (3) 51.7 (3) 
4. National Accord Chairman Artashes Geghamian 35.3 32.0 (5) 28.5 (5) 
5. Ex-President Levon Ter-Petrosian 31.0 5.8 (18)* 25.0 (7) 
6. People's Party Chairman Stepan Demirchian 24.2 19.8 (6) 16.3 (9) 
7. Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian 17.4 53.0 (4) 30.2 (4) 
8. President's Chief of Staff Artashes Tumanian 15.3 14.0 (8) 6.7 (18) 
9. Dashnaktsutiun Chairman Hrant Margarian 14.3 18.0 (7) 12.8 (10) 
10. Parliament Speaker Armen Khachatrian 14.2 2.5 (34)* n/a 
*Figures for the first quarter of 2002.
Pollsters tie the opposition politicians' improved ranking to the approaching local, presidential and parliamentary elections. In recent months, Artashes Geghamian and Stepan Demirchian have emerged as two rival opposition leaders who are expected to challenge the incumbent President Robert Kocharian in elections next February. Perceived influence of the reclusive ex-President Levon Ter-Petrosian shot up dramatically earlier this year amid speculations that he too may bid for the presidency. Also impressive is the rise of the former Foreign Minister (1991-92) Raffi Hovannisian, who is now ranked twelfth with a score of ten. Hovannisian is founder and president of the Armenian Center for National and International Studies (ACNIS), a prominent Yerevan think-tank, and the recently established National Citizens' Initiative, which aims to "realize the rule of law and overall improvements in the state of the [Armenian] state, society, and public institutions."
September 20-27 Members of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) have been least impacted by the ongoing economic slowdown in the world, says the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) annual report released this week. IMF has cut its 2002 growth estimates for the United States and countries of the European Union to 2.2 and 1.1 percent, respectively. But the IMF claims that strong consumer demand in Russia accounts for significant growth in the CIS. The economies of Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Armenia are expected to expand at between 7.5 and 8 percent, the highest indicators in the CIS. So far, in January-August 2002 the growth of Armenia's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has exceeded ten percent. While increased oil production accounts for much of Kazakh and Azerbaijani growth, Armenia's growth centers on the nearly forty percent increase in the production of manufactured goods for export. At the same time, IMF notes that individual incomes in both Armenia and Azerbaijan are among the lowest in the CIS. 
September 28 Nagorno Karabagh president Arkady Gukasyan briefs journalists on his recent meeting with officials form the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE). Gukasyan explains that the OSCE delegation is conducting its latest tour of the region, meeting with Armenian and Azerbaijani officials in the ongoing attempt to forge a negotiated resolution to the Karabagh conflict. The Karabagh president criticizes the OSCE for failing to include Karabagh as an equal party in the negotiations and warns that the continued exclusion of Karabagh from the peace process endangers the chance for a resolution, adding that "it is impossible to settle the conflict without Nagorno Karabagh's participation." The president also reveals that he provided the OSCE officials with his own detailed approach to settling the Karabagh conflict and stressed that the recent presidential elections in Karabagh were "another step towards establishing democratic principles in the public and political life of the Nagorno-Karabagh Republic."
September 28 Iranian Ambassador to Armenia Mohammad Farhad Koleini comments on a recent speech by Armenian Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanian defending Armenia's "complementarity" concept of foreign policy. The Iranian ambassador criticizes the speech and states that Armenian foreign policy is mistakenly seeking relations with Russia, the West and Iran simultaneously. The Iranian ambassador adds that such a policy is unrealistic as Armenia lacks the resources and international standing needed to manage such a complicated goal.
Reprinted, by permission, from Armenian Assembly of AmericaArmenian International Magazine , Armenian National Committee of America , Armenian National Institute ,Groong. Armenian News Network  
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