U.S. Intelligence Chief Warns Of Karabakh War
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RFE/RL -- The likelihood of another Armenian-Azerbaijani war for Nagorno-Karabakh has increased as a result of the U.S.-backed rapprochement between Armenia and Turkey, according to America’s top intelligence official.
“Although there has been progress in the past year toward Turkey-Armenia rapprochement, this has affected the delicate relationship between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and increases the risk of a renewed conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh,” Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair warned late Tuesday in written testimony to a U.S. Senate committee.
Blair also warned of broader security and stability threats persisting in the South Caucasus. “The unresolved conflicts of the Caucasus provide the most likely flashpoints in the Eurasia region,” he said. “Moscow’s expanded military presence in and political-economic ties to Georgia’s separatist regions of South Ossetia and sporadic low-level violence increase the risk of miscalculation or overreaction leading to renewed fighting.”
The United States has strongly supported and at times mediated in the Turkish-Armenian rapprochement that began nearly two years ago and led to the signing last October of two “protocols” envisaging the normalization of relations between the two historical foes.
Azerbaijan has condemned the agreements, saying that an open border with Turkey would only discourage Armenia from seeking a compromise solution to the dispute. Azerbaijani leaders have also continued to threaten to win back Karabakh and surrounding Armenian-occupied territories by force.
The authorities in Armenia and Karabakh have dismissed the war threats. International mediators have also disapproved of them, repeatedly urging the conflicting parties to refrain from bellicose rhetoric.
U.S. diplomats have seemed confident, at least until recently, that chances for renewed large-scale fighting in Karabakh are slim. Speaking to RFE/RL in October 2008, then U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Daniel Fried said the danger of another war “has somewhat receded because the [August 2008] war in Georgia reminded everyone in this region how terrible war is.” “War is no joke,” Fried said. “It’s a bad option.”
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Comments
owever, this wll be a reminder that a Free press,speech is what Armens need...
AS to the aforementioned diplomat's prediction,it clearly evident from Turkey's unrelenting position on NK that indeed,if RA does not bend jsut a little-at least by appearance-to great Turkey, they will not budge and this may lead to a renewed conflict between Azerbaijan(actu ally ther 2nd State,as they openly declared,ONE NATION WITH TWO TWO STATES) AND ARTSAKH/ARMENIA.MY "SUGGESTION" WAS IS TO SORT OF MAKE APPEAR THAT WE ARE WILLING TO HAVE NK BECOME LIKE SAY ANDORRA-RULED BY BOTH AZERBAIJAN(BY APPEARANCE0 AND RA.THAT IS WHAT HAPPENE3D IN ADORRA, AFTER 2 CENTURIES DIS-AGREEMETN AS TO WHOM THAT PIECE OF LAND BELONGED ,PERCHED ON THE PYREENEES MOUNTAINS.THEY THE CAME TO A COMPROMISE TO RULE TOGETHER.ACTUALL IT IS 99% SPAISN(RATHER CATALAN RULE) WITH PRESIDENT OF IT BEING FRANCE'S PRESI. AND A N ARCHBISOP ON SPANIS SIDE IN SEU D'URGEL -ALSO CATALUNIA0...TRADE IS THRIVING AS IT HAS BEEN DECLARED A free trade zone IWTH VERY LTTLE CUSTOMS DUTIES LEVIED ON GOODS IMPORTED FROM ALL OVER THE WRLD..
name of ARTSAKH-actually l.ess known to Int'l public, could be dubbved as " PRINCIPALITY OF NAGORNYI KARABAGH" WHAT D WE LOOS? HAVING 2/3 AZERI DEPUTES IN NK PARLIAMENT AND MAKING UP THIS WAY WITH AZERBAIAJ,,neth er NK REPUBLIC OR UNITED WTH RA, NEITHER UNDER AZERI DIRECT RULE...
and above all DECLARE IT ASW A FREE TRADE ZOEN.
Most importantly great Turkey thus HAVING THEIR WAS...OUTWARDLY TO THE INT'L PUBLIC AND POWERS THAT BE,,SHWOING THAT THEY ARE ACTUALLY great and have their say..
TURKEY IS A "PAPER TIGER",according a ersian diplomat friend ,like shah's regime it will tuble some day.But at present let them go on wth their appearances.Bulgaria is already demanding 20 Billion dollar , from her for Damages sustained by ttoman Turkley.Ours ought to be followed up on same basis for "Blood Money" NO not BY RA. but by ARMENIAN DIASPORAwhen is this latter becoming re-organized to be a super structure with a Supreme Council in 5 Dept. ike this servant of the Armen people keeps pumping into Armen web sites..
ama agagani sIRO,
Gaytzag Palandjian
they are the single most barbaric race and killers of the weak, l say just stay in your side of the border and stop comming to Turkey for jobs 40.000 illeagal armenians in Turkey we should deport them as before,
Well if that is what your Governments have kiced into your heads,then be it.Keep grinding same oxydated axe..If there is a problem with you or your like then ask yourgovernment fuctionaries as to losss of memory by them.They are there to help you with more such like tales..rather "assals" .You do not deserve more.Your mindset is set in that direction and it will not change untill such time as your Elite comprehends that by lying they will get to nowhere..
The Int'l public is by ad by coming to understand what the turkish mindset is bent upon.that of Leng Temr,Gengis KLhan and Enver,Talaat, jamal and the other Butcers..who initiated this hatred amongst their people that still goes on towards "Ermeni"s.
But tell me one thing mary, if this is the case, why on earth did some 100,000 of your comatriots come out on the street only near 3 yrs ago and shout ,displaying pancars"Hepsimis Ermeni.."hepsimis " Hrat Dink...
Ermeni?
This word like the word k u r d was not even mentioned in your /ther vocabuary.Latter were dubbed as "Mountain turks" untill a drive initiated by Mrs. Mitterandt,wife of ex-Pres. of France, taught the turkish diplomacy what is meant by "mountain turks" ...
Now some near 20 million of them on Easter urkey_(Western Armenia0 will not be ,cannot be DEPORTED, AS YOU WRITE...THINK OF THAT A BIT..WILLYA?